The worst states could have open enrollment next year.
That’s the takeaway from the latest national study on the state-by-state impact of the Affordable Care Act, which was released Friday.
In the end, 14 states opened more schools than expected, with Georgia, Michigan, Louisiana, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, South Carolina and Texas all opening more than expected.
All those states have been at the center of the political fight over health care since President Donald Trump signed the bill into law.
A handful of states opened the door to open their schools at a higher rate than expected — in some cases, dramatically higher.
In North Carolina and Louisiana, where Trump’s signature legislation passed, the state opened almost half of the schools.
And in South Carolina, the legislature enacted a bill that gave the governor the power to open a school at any time, with no public vote.
But the study says the states are not at the point where they’re at risk of having a significant number of open schools.
The report says the risk of open enrollment in 2019 is lower than the previous years, and it predicts that states that opened more than half of their schools by 2019 could be at a lower risk of a closed school than in 2019.
“I think there’s a real possibility of more open enrollment than we had in 2019,” said Chris Hurd, an associate director of the Center for State Innovation at the left-leaning Economic Policy Institute.
The report is based on a model that was developed by the University of Michigan economist Jonathan Gruber and his team.
They estimated the impact of various states on their populations, and then looked at the likelihood of opening new schools.
Based on that, the authors found that open enrollment would rise by an average of 11.3 percent in 2019 if states expanded to the same percentage of their population that they had in 2021.
That would be more than enough to keep the nation’s public schools open for a year or two.
But it’s not that easy.
There are a couple of caveats to the model.
First, some states have high rates of non-white students, so there’s some uncertainty about how much they could expand.
And there’s the possibility that opening more schools in some states would lead to increased competition among districts.
But Hurd said those scenarios are very unlikely.
“It’s very likely there would be fewer open schools than in 2021,” he said.
A few states have had a large impact on the number of schools that opened in 2020.
Georgia, which opened 15.5 percent of its schools, closed more than a third of its public schools, the report found.
In Pennsylvania, which closed 11.8 percent of the public schools last year, opening more would be a major step in the right direction.
But in other states, like California and Texas, the numbers are far lower.
Texas closed 12.5% of its campuses, which would be just under the national average.
And California closed 10.3% of the state’s schools, but opened more.
One caveat to the analysis is that the model does not consider the effect of the passage of the ACA.
That law, passed by Congress in 2010, has allowed states to increase the number and types of schools they open.
The states that expanded at least 25% in 2019 would see their school enrollment increase by an additional 9.2%.
And that increase would be enough to increase their enrollment by about 13.4%, which is enough to put them in the lead in terms of open-enrollment growth in 2019, the study said.
But it would be much less than they would have had in 2020, when the ACA was a law.
As of last year’s report, nearly 1.3 million students were enrolled in open schools in the U.S. As of 2018, the number was just over 6 million.
That number is expected to rise, as enrollment increases in new schools and schools expand to provide additional options for students.
Even though the federal government closed schools nationwide on Feb. 1, the data from the report indicates that schools in states that have been open in the last year or so could open their doors again this year.
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